Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.053066 0.057553 0.062093 0.067024 0.072221 0.077530 0.083354
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.048095 0.054922 0.062071 0.070086 0.078796 0.087947 0.098263
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.040711 0.048895 0.057748 0.067975 0.079401 0.091712 0.105919
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.035669 0.044883 0.055155 0.067339 0.081282 0.096631 0.114693
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.031677 0.041653 0.053086 0.066979 0.083222 0.101440 0.123240
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.029810 0.040695 0.053465 0.069293 0.088124 0.109560 0.135554
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.027632 0.039145 0.052965 0.070423 0.091536 0.115906 0.145819
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.025642 0.037647 0.052375 0.071315 0.094570 0.121755 0.155490
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.023269 0.035469 0.050779 0.070830 0.095827 0.125418 0.162538
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.021830 0.034393 0.050473 0.071863 0.098875 0.131190 0.172090
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.019903 0.032518 0.049015 0.071332 0.099899 0.134453 0.178597
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018486 0.031238 0.048245 0.071601 0.101865 0.138829 0.186435
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.017350 0.030311 0.047933 0.072488 0.104675 0.144352 0.195842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017166 0.030739 0.049459 0.075820 0.110664 0.153898 0.210310
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015134 0.028309 0.046933 0.073642 0.109450 0.154373 0.213521
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013779 0.026795 0.045600 0.072996 0.110174 0.157253 0.219713
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012627 0.025508 0.044517 0.072630 0.111218 0.160513 0.226375
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012370 0.025627 0.045463 0.075087 0.116047 0.168663 0.239278
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011786 0.025170 0.045530 0.076286 0.119178 0.174634 0.249446
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011177 0.024628 0.045435 0.077232 0.121956 0.180153 0.259065
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010252 0.023477 0.044359 0.076720 0.122706 0.183002 0.265253
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009775 0.023071 0.044403 0.077813 0.125658 0.188753 0.275210
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008959 0.021996 0.043349 0.077251 0.126280 0.191403 0.281144